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[Author] Tadashi DOHI(32hit)

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  • Interval Estimation Method for Decision Making in Wavelet-Based Software Reliability Assessment

    Xiao XIAO  Tadashi DOHI  

     
    PAPER

      Vol:
    E97-D No:5
      Page(s):
    1058-1068

    Recently, the wavelet-based estimation method has gradually been becoming popular as a new tool for software reliability assessment. The wavelet transform possesses both spatial and temporal resolution which makes the wavelet-based estimation method powerful in extracting necessary information from observed software fault data, in global and local points of view at the same time. This enables us to estimate the software reliability measures in higher accuracy. However, in the existing works, only the point estimation of the wavelet-based approach was focused, where the underlying stochastic process to describe the software-fault detection phenomena was modeled by a non-homogeneous Poisson process. In this paper, we propose an interval estimation method for the wavelet-based approach, aiming at taking account of uncertainty which was left out of consideration in point estimation. More specifically, we employ the simulation-based bootstrap method, and derive the confidence intervals of software reliability measures such as the software intensity function and the expected cumulative number of software faults. To this end, we extend the well-known thinning algorithm for the purpose of generating multiple sample data from one set of software-fault count data. The results of numerical analysis with real software fault data make it clear that, our proposal is a decision support method which enables the practitioners to do flexible decision making in software development project management.

  • Parameter Estimation of Markovian Arrivals with Utilization Data

    Chen LI  Junjun ZHENG  Hiroyuki OKAMURA  Tadashi DOHI  

     
    PAPER-Fundamental Theories for Communications

      Pubricized:
    2021/07/08
      Vol:
    E105-B No:1
      Page(s):
    1-10

    Utilization data (a kind of incomplete data) is defined as the fraction of a fixed period in which the system is busy. In computer systems, utilization data is very common and easily observable, such as CPU utilization. Unlike inter-arrival times and waiting times, it is more significant to consider the parameter estimation of transaction-based systems with utilization data. In our previous work [7], a novel parameter estimation method using utilization data for an Mt/M/1/K queueing system was presented to estimate the parameters of a non-homogeneous Poisson process (NHPP). Since NHPP is classified as a simple counting process, it may not fit actual arrival streams very well. As a generalization of NHPP, Markovian arrival process (MAP) takes account of the dependency between consecutive arrivals and is often used to model complex, bursty, and correlated traffic streams. In this paper, we concentrate on the parameter estimation of an MAP/M/1/K queueing system using utilization data. In particular, the parameters are estimated by using maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method. Numerical experiments on real utilization data validate the proposed approach and evaluate the effective traffic intensity of the arrival stream of MAP/M/1/K queueing system. Besides, three kinds of utilization datasets are created from a simulation to assess the effects of observed time intervals on both estimation accuracy and computational cost. The numerical results show that MAP-based approach outperforms the exiting method in terms of both the estimation accuracy and computational cost.

  • FOREWORD

    Tadashi DOHI  

     
    FOREWORD

      Vol:
    E95-A No:9
      Page(s):
    1449-1450
  • NHPP-Based Software Reliability Models Using Equilibrium Distribution

    Xiao XIAO  Hiroyuki OKAMURA  Tadashi DOHI  

     
    PAPER-Reliability, Maintainability and Safety Analysis

      Vol:
    E95-A No:5
      Page(s):
    894-902

    Non-homogeneous Poisson processes (NHPPs) have gained much popularity in actual software testing phases to estimate the software reliability, the number of remaining faults in software and the software release timing. In this paper, we propose a new modeling approach for the NHPP-based software reliability models (SRMs) to describe the stochastic behavior of software fault-detection processes. The fundamental idea is to apply the equilibrium distribution to the fault-detection time distribution in NHPP-based modeling. We also develop efficient parameter estimation procedures for the proposed NHPP-based SRMs. Through numerical experiments, it can be concluded that the proposed NHPP-based SRMs outperform the existing ones in many data sets from the perspective of goodness-of-fit and prediction performance.

  • Dependability Analysis of a Transaction-Based Multi-Server System with Rejuvenation

    Hiroyuki OKAMURA  Satoshi MIYAHARA  Tadashi DOHI  

     
    PAPER-Reliability, Maintainability and Safety Analysis

      Vol:
    E86-A No:8
      Page(s):
    2081-2090

    This paper considers a transaction-based multi-server system with rejuvenation, and derive the optimal software rejuvenation policies under some system dependability measures; the steady-state availability, the probability of transaction loss and the upper bound of mean response time on transactions. We compare the system configuration based on a single-server with that based on a multi-server in terms of the software rejuvenation scheme. In numerical examples, we calculate the optimal software rejuvenation timing and its associated dependability measure, and refer to the effect of preventive maintenance in the transaction-based multi-server software systems.

  • Cost-Effective Analysis of Software Systems with Periodic Rejuvenation

    Hiroaki SUZUKI  Tadashi DOHI  Hiroyuki OKAMURA  

     
    PAPER-Reliability, Maintainability and Safety Analysis

      Vol:
    E85-A No:12
      Page(s):
    2923-2932

    In this paper, we consider the similar software cost models with periodic rejuvenation to Garg, Puliafito, Telek and Trivedi (1995) under the cost effectiveness criteria. First, an alternative model as well as the original one are analyzed by Markov regenerative processes. We derive analytically the optimal periodic software rejuvenation policies which maximize the cost-effectiveness in the steady state for two models. Further, we develop statistical non-parametric algorithms to estimate the optimal software rejuvenation policies, provided that the sample data to characterize the system failure times are given. Then, the total time on test (TTT) concept is used. In numerical examples, we compare the periodic software rejuvenation policy with the non-periodic one, and investigate the asymptotic properties of the non-parametric estimators for the optimal software rejuvenation policies through a simulation experiment.

  • Software Reliability Assessment via Non-Parametric Maximum Likelihood Estimation

    Yasuhiro SAITO  Tadashi DOHI  

     
    PAPER

      Vol:
    E98-A No:10
      Page(s):
    2042-2050

    In this paper we consider two non-parametric estimation methods for software reliability assessment without specifying the fault-detection time distribution, where the underlying stochastic process to describe software fault-counts in the system testing is given by a non-homogeneous Poisson process. The resulting data-driven methodologies can give the useful probabilistic information on the software reliability assessment under the incomplete knowledge on fault-detection time distribution. Throughout examples with real software fault data, it is shown that the proposed methods provide more accurate estimation results than the common parametric approach.

  • Software Reliability Modeling Based on Burr XII Distributions

    Takahiro IMANAKA  Tadashi DOHI  

     
    LETTER

      Vol:
    E98-A No:10
      Page(s):
    2091-2095

    In this letter we develop a software reliability modeling framework by introducing the Burr XII distributions to software fault-detection time. An extension to deal with software metrics data characterizing the product size, program complexity or testing expenditure is also proposed. Finally, we investigate the goodness-of-fit performance and compare our new models with the existing ones through real data analyses.

  • Application of Markov Chain Monte Carlo Random Testing to Test Case Prioritization in Regression Testing

    Bo ZHOU  Hiroyuki OKAMURA  Tadashi DOHI  

     
    PAPER

      Vol:
    E95-D No:9
      Page(s):
    2219-2226

    This paper proposes the test case prioritization in regression testing. The large size of a test suite to be executed in regression testing often causes large amount of testing cost. It is important to reduce the size of test cases according to prioritized test sequence. In this paper, we apply the Markov chain Monte Carlo random testing (MCMC-RT) scheme, which is a promising approach to effectively generate test cases in the framework of random testing. To apply MCMC-RT to the test case prioritization, we consider the coverage-based distance and develop the algorithm of the MCMC-RT test case prioritization using the coverage-based distance. Furthermore, the MCMC-RT test case prioritization technique is consistently comparable to coverage-based adaptive random testing (ART) prioritization techniques and involves much less time cost.

  • Discrete Availability Models to Rejuvenate a Telecommunication Billing Application

    Tadashi DOHI  Kazuki IWAMOTO  Hiroyuki OKAMURA  Naoto KAIO  

     
    PAPER-Network Systems and Applications

      Vol:
    E86-B No:10
      Page(s):
    2931-2939

    Software rejuvenation is a proactive fault management technique that has been extensively studied in the recent literature. In this paper, we focus on an example for a telecommunication billing application considered in Huang et al. (1995) and develop the discrete-time stochastic models to estimate the optimal software rejuvenation schedule. More precisely, two software availability models with rejuvenation are formulated via the discrete semi-Markov processes, and the optimal software rejuvenation schedules which maximize the steady-state availabilities are derived analytically. Further, we develop statistically non-parametric algorithms to estimate the optimal software rejuvenation schedules, provided that the complete sample data of failure times are given. Then, a new statistical device, called the discrete total time on test statistics, is introduced. Finally, we examine asymptotic properties for the statistical estimation algorithms proposed in this paper through a simulation experiment.

  • A Statistical Estimation Method of Optimal Software Release Timing Applying Auto-Regressive Models

    Tadashi DOHI  Hiromichi MORISHITA  Shunji OSAKI  

     
    PAPER-Reliability, Maintainability and Safety Analysis

      Vol:
    E84-A No:1
      Page(s):
    331-338

    This paper proposes a statistical method to estimate the optimal software release time which minimizes the expected total software cost incurred in both testing and operation phases. It is shown that the underlying cost minimization problem can be reduced to a graphical one. This implies that the software release problem under consideration is essentially equivalent to a time series forecasting for the software fault-occurrence time data. In order to predict the future fault-occurrence time, we apply three extraordinary auto-regressive models by Singpurwalla and Soyer (1985) as the prediction devices as well as the well-known AR and ARIMA models. Numerical examples are devoted to illustrate the predictive performance for the proposed method. We compare it with the classical exponential software reliability growth model based on the non-homogeneous Poisson process, using actual software fault-occurrence time data.

  • The Effective Smoothing Technique to Estimate the Optimal Software Release Schedule Based on Artificial Neural Network

    Tadashi DOHI  Yoshifumi YATSUNAMI  Yasuhiko NISHIO  Shunji OSAKI  

     
    PAPER

      Vol:
    E83-A No:5
      Page(s):
    796-803

    In this paper, we develop an effective smoothing technique to estimate the optimal software release schedule which minimizes the total software cost. The optimal software release problem is essentially reduced to a statistical estimation problem for the software failure rate, but the resulting estimator based on both the fault-detection time data observed in testing phase and its estimate in future is discontinuous and does not always function well for determining the optimal release schedule. We estimate the smoothed software failure rate using the usual quadratic programming approach and generate the optimal software release schedule with higher accuracy.

21-32hit(32hit)